Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.096944 0.151132 0.215370 0.294513 0.387152 0.490288 0.612072
2025-12-28 0.039839 0.103233 0.194943 0.322793 0.485903 0.679103 0.918384
2026-01-04 0.015650 0.074650 0.177857 0.335500 0.547930 0.808665 1.139921
2026-01-11 0.006560 0.063129 0.180072 0.370664 0.636638 0.970148 1.400130
2026-01-18 0.001610 0.051805 0.177788 0.396188 0.710472 1.111695 1.635217
2026-01-25 NaN 0.036772 0.162932 0.399342 0.751840 1.210874 1.817615
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018657 0.131535 0.370496 0.744846 1.245250 1.917655
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006149 0.099535 0.333189 0.720886 1.254071 1.982986
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001796 0.084020 0.321394 0.732036 1.307823 2.103990
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000492 0.078560 0.327778 0.770237 1.397852 2.271476
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.069367 0.324354 0.792082 1.464927 2.408985
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.055427 0.306870 0.789642 1.497278 2.500515
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.059611 0.334434 0.863920 1.641098 2.743755
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063568 0.361947 0.939018 1.787330 2.991910
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.062436 0.376184 0.991794 1.901904 3.198217
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.070055 0.413336 1.083327 2.071780 3.478100
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.073799 0.440436 1.158092 2.218073 3.727087
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.068661 0.443760 1.192685 2.307361 3.900810
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.052399 0.413200 1.168044 2.311247 3.960616
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.035687 0.373574 1.124360 2.285675 3.979567
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.028553 0.361022 1.127115 2.326510 4.086680
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.026848 0.367818 1.165047 2.419093 4.263820
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.022870 0.364174 1.183255 2.482338 4.401160